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NFL Predictions: November 2, 2026
NFL has 1 game today and 15 more in the next week in the Sporlytics model. The model’s strongest lean is Colts at 21.0 points above market against Cowboys; the most lopsided game is Seahawks over Cardinals at 82%. Grading starts with the first completed games and every pick stays on the record.
Today · Monday, November 2
| Time (ET) | Teams | Win % | Market | Edge | Proj. score | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8:15 PM |  Chicago Bears 5-2 Seattle Seahawks 4-3 | 36% 64% | 39% 61% | SEA +3.2 | 20 24 | SEA -3 | 46.5 |
Next 7 days
| Time (ET) | Teams | Win % | Market | Edge | Proj. score | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 11/5 8:15 PM |  Jacksonville Jaguars 5-2 Baltimore Ravens 4-4 | 63% 37% | 78% 22% | BAL +14.4 | 25 21 | JAX -8.5 | 43.5 |
| Sun 11/8 9:30 AM |  Cincinnati Bengals 5-2 Atlanta Falcons 3-5 | 61% 39% | 60% 40% | CIN +1.0 | 25 22 | CIN -3 | 51.5 |
| Sun 11/8 1:00 PM |  Dallas Cowboys 3-5 Indianapolis Colts 2-6 | 48% 52% | 69% 31% | IND +21.0 | 24 25 | DAL -6 | 51.5 |
| Sun 11/8 1:00 PM |  New York Jets 2-6 Kansas City Chiefs 5-2 | 24% 76% | 20% 80% | NYJ +4.4 | 18 26 | KC -10 | 46.5 |
| Sun 11/8 1:00 PM |  Detroit Lions 5-2 Miami Dolphins 1-6 | 66% 34% | 75% 25% | MIA +8.9 | 26 21 | DET -7 | 49.5 |
| Sun 11/8 1:00 PM |  Cleveland Browns 5-3 New Orleans Saints 2-5 | 49% 51% | 44% 56% | CLE +4.9 | 22 22 | NO -3 | 43.5 |
| Sun 11/8 1:00 PM |  New York Giants 4-2-1 Philadelphia Eagles 2-6 | 54% 46% | 57% 43% | PHI +3.7 | 23 22 | NYG -3 | 40.5 |
| Sun 11/8 1:00 PM |  Los Angeles Rams 4-4 Washington Commanders 2-4-1 | 64% 36% | 66% 34% | WSH +2.8 | 25 21 | LAR -5.5 | 48.5 |
| Sun 11/8 1:00 PM |  Denver Broncos 6-2 Carolina Panthers 3-4 | 66% 34% | 58% 42% | DEN +7.6 | 25 21 | DEN -3 | 43.5 |
| Sun 11/8 4:05 PM |  Houston Texans 2-5 Los Angeles Chargers 0-7 | 58% 42% | 66% 34% | LAC +7.3 | 23 21 | HOU -5.5 | 41.5 |
| Sun 11/8 4:25 PM |  Green Bay Packers 5-3 New England Patriots 5-3 | 34% 66% | 43% 57% | NE +8.8 | 20 24 | NE -3 | 47.5 |
| Sun 11/8 4:25 PM |  Las Vegas Raiders 4-4 San Francisco 49ers 6-1 | 22% 78% | 20% 80% | LV +1.8 | 21 30 | SF -9.5 | 51.5 |
| Sun 11/8 4:25 PM |  Arizona Cardinals 3-5Seattle Seahawks 4-3 | 18% 82% | 15% 85% | ARI +2.7 | 18 28 | SEA -11.5 | 44.5 |
| Sun 11/8 8:20 PM |  Tampa Bay Buccaneers 3-5Chicago Bears 5-2 | 34% 66% | 32% 68% | TB +1.6 | 19 24 | CHI -5.5 | 47.5 |
| Mon 11/9 8:15 PM |  Buffalo Bills 6-1 Minnesota Vikings 6-1 | 50% 50% | 57% 43% | MIN +7.7 | 22 23 | BUF -2.5 | 46.5 |
Model probabilities post as soon as the fixture is on the schedule; the market column fills when DraftKings opens a line.
Last graded
No NFL games graded yet.
NFL record
Grading starts with the first completed games. Every pick is scored the morning after and listed on the results page, hits and misses alike.
Updated 6:06 AM ET · Nov 2, 2026. Lines are DraftKings via ESPN at run time and move during the day. Market = implied probability with the bookmaker margin removed. Edge = model minus market in percentage points; under 3 is noise.
NFL predictions FAQ
How does the model predict NFL games?
Each team carries an Elo rating that moves after every game, with bigger moves for bigger margins. The rating gap plus home advantage gives a win probability; the same gap scaled to points gives the projected margin, and recent scoring rates give the projected total.
What does the edge column mean?
The difference between the model’s win probability and the market’s no-vig probability, in points. A blue chip means the model likes its own favourite more than the market; amber means it leans toward the other side. Anything under 3 points is noise.
Does the model account for injuries?
No. It uses scores and schedule only. When a star is out, the market usually knows before the ratings do, so a large edge against the market deserves a second look.
How are NFL picks graded?
The pick is the team with the higher model probability. It is scored the morning after the game, and the Brier score records how well calibrated the probability was. Everything is on the results page, misses included.