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NBA Predictions: November 2, 2026
NBA has 15 games today and 47 more in the next week in the Sporlytics model. The model’s strongest lean is Magic at 19.3 points above market against Wizards; the most lopsided game is Spurs over Jazz at 88%. Grading starts with the first completed games and every pick stays on the record.
Today · Monday, November 2
| Time (ET) | Teams | Win % | Market | Edge | Proj. score | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7:00 PM |  Oklahoma City Thunder 4-2 Cleveland Cavaliers 4-2 | 48% 52% | 38% 62% | OKC +10.0 | 113 114 | CLE -4.5 | 228.5 |
| 7:30 PM |  Detroit Pistons 5-1 Charlotte Hornets 3-4 | 61% 39% | 61% 39% | DET +0.2 | 109 107 | DET -4.5 | 210.5 |
| 7:30 PM |  Atlanta Hawks 3-4 Indiana Pacers 2-5 | 66% 34% | 64% 36% | ATL +2.1 | 117 113 | ATL -5.5 | 232.5 |
| 7:30 PM |  Brooklyn Nets 1-5 New York Knicks 2-4 | 20% 80% | 14% 86% | BKN +6.1 | 107 115 | NY -14.5 | 220.5 |
| 7:30 PM |  Washington Wizards 3-3 Orlando Magic 2-4 | 26% 74% | 46% 54% | ORL +19.3 | 110 116 | ORL -1.5 | 223.5 |
| 7:30 PM |  Chicago Bulls 1-5 Philadelphia 76ers 6-1 | 20% 80% | 18% 82% | CHI +1.8 | 110 119 | PHI -11.5 | 239.5 |
| 8:00 PM |  Sacramento Kings 0-6 Dallas Mavericks 4-2 | 25% 75% | 23% 77% | SAC +1.9 | 112 119 | DAL -10.5 | 234.5 |
| 8:00 PM |  New Orleans Pelicans 2-4 Memphis Grizzlies 6-0 | 43% 57% | 34% 66% | NO +8.5 | 115 117 | MEM -6.5 | 234.5 |
| 8:00 PM |  Milwaukee Bucks 1-5 Minnesota Timberwolves 4-3 | 20% 80% | 21% 79% | MIN +1.0 | 112 120 | MIN -10.5 | 234.5 |
| 8:30 PM |  Boston Celtics 5-1 Houston Rockets 6-1 | 45% 55% | 36% 64% | BOS +8.9 | 113 114 | HOU -4.5 | 219.5 |
| 8:30 PM |  Utah Jazz 1-5 San Antonio Spurs 4-2 | 12% 88% | 11% 89% | UTAH +0.7 | 108 121 | SA -16.5 | 231.5 |
| 9:00 PM |  Portland Trail Blazers 4-1 Denver Nuggets 3-2 | 37% 63% | 39% 61% | DEN +1.9 | 113 117 | DEN -4.5 | 230.5 |
| 10:00 PM |  Phoenix Suns 1-3 Golden State Warriors 4-3 | 42% 58% | 38% 62% | PHX +3.9 | 115 116 | GS -4.5 | 227.5 |
| 10:00 PM |  Toronto Raptors 3-3 LA Clippers 1-5 | 50% 50% | 64% 36% | LAC +14.8 | 113 113 | TOR -5.5 | 220.5 |
| 10:00 PM |  Miami Heat 2-4 Los Angeles Lakers 5-2 | 34% 66% | 45% 55% | LAL +11.3 | 115 119 | LAL -2.5 | 237.5 |
Next 7 days
| Time (ET) | Teams | Win % | Market | Edge | Proj. score | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 11/4 7:00 PM | Philadelphia 76ers 6-1Detroit Pistons 5-1 | 35% 65% | – – | no line | 108 111 | – | – |
| Wed 11/4 7:00 PM | Atlanta Hawks 3-4Washington Wizards 3-3 | 64% 36% | – – | no line | 116 112 | – | – |
| Wed 11/4 7:30 PM | Milwaukee Bucks 1-5Boston Celtics 5-1 | 14% 86% | – – | no line | 110 121 | – | – |
| Wed 11/4 7:30 PM | Charlotte Hornets 3-4Brooklyn Nets 1-5 | 66% 34% | – – | no line | 111 107 | – | – |
| Wed 11/4 7:30 PM | Chicago Bulls 1-5New York Knicks 2-4 | 22% 78% | – – | no line | 111 118 | – | – |
| Wed 11/4 8:00 PM | Indiana Pacers 2-5Memphis Grizzlies 6-0 | 31% 69% | – – | no line | 112 117 | – | – |
| Wed 11/4 8:00 PM | Utah Jazz 1-5New Orleans Pelicans 2-4 | 27% 73% | – – | no line | 113 119 | – | – |
| Wed 11/4 8:00 PM | Cleveland Cavaliers 4-2Oklahoma City Thunder 4-2 | 39% 61% | – – | no line | 112 115 | – | – |
| Wed 11/4 8:30 PM | Minnesota Timberwolves 4-3Houston Rockets 6-1 | 35% 65% | – – | no line | 112 116 | – | – |
| Wed 11/4 9:00 PM | Toronto Raptors 3-3Denver Nuggets 3-2 | 34% 66% | – – | no line | 113 117 | – | – |
| Wed 11/4 9:00 PM | Portland Trail Blazers 4-1Phoenix Suns 1-3 | 50% 50% | – – | no line | 115 115 | – | – |
| Wed 11/4 9:30 PM | Dallas Mavericks 4-2San Antonio Spurs 4-2 | 27% 73% | – – | no line | 111 117 | – | – |
| Wed 11/4 10:00 PM | Los Angeles Lakers 5-2Sacramento Kings 0-6 | 73% 27% | – – | no line | 120 114 | – | – |
| Wed 11/4 10:30 PM | Miami Heat 2-4LA Clippers 1-5 | 47% 53% | – – | no line | 115 115 | – | – |
| Thu 11/5 9:00 PM | Orlando Magic 2-4Phoenix Suns 1-3 | 46% 54% | – – | no line | 114 115 | – | – |
| Thu 11/5 10:00 PM | Miami Heat 2-4Golden State Warriors 4-3 | 42% 58% | – – | no line | 116 118 | – | – |
| Fri 11/6 7:00 PM | Washington Wizards 3-3Atlanta Hawks 3-4 | 25% 75% | – – | no line | 111 117 | – | – |
| Fri 11/6 7:00 PM | Boston Celtics 5-1Charlotte Hornets 3-4 | 60% 40% | – – | no line | 111 109 | – | – |
| Fri 11/6 7:30 PM | Philadelphia 76ers 6-1Cleveland Cavaliers 4-2 | 45% 55% | – – | no line | 113 114 | – | – |
| Fri 11/6 8:00 PM | Utah Jazz 1-5Dallas Mavericks 4-2 | 22% 78% | – – | no line | 111 118 | – | – |
| Fri 11/6 8:00 PM | Oklahoma City Thunder 4-2Memphis Grizzlies 6-0 | 63% 37% | – – | no line | 114 111 | – | – |
| Fri 11/6 8:00 PM | Toronto Raptors 3-3Milwaukee Bucks 1-5 | 64% 36% | – – | no line | 117 114 | – | – |
| Fri 11/6 8:00 PM | Minnesota Timberwolves 4-3New Orleans Pelicans 2-4 | 59% 41% | – – | no line | 117 115 | – | – |
| Fri 11/6 10:00 PM | Portland Trail Blazers 4-1Los Angeles Lakers 5-2 | 40% 60% | – – | no line | 114 117 | – | – |
| Fri 11/6 10:00 PM | San Antonio Spurs 4-2Sacramento Kings 0-6 | 79% 21% | – – | no line | 120 112 | – | – |
| Sat 11/7 5:00 PM | Denver Nuggets 3-2Indiana Pacers 2-5 | 78% 22% | – – | no line | 119 111 | – | – |
| Sat 11/7 7:30 PM | Brooklyn Nets 1-5Atlanta Hawks 3-4 | 22% 78% | – – | no line | 110 118 | – | – |
| Sat 11/7 8:00 PM | New York Knicks 2-4Cleveland Cavaliers 4-2 | 42% 58% | – – | no line | 112 115 | – | – |
| Sat 11/7 8:00 PM | Washington Wizards 3-3Oklahoma City Thunder 4-2 | 18% 82% | – – | no line | 107 116 | – | – |
| Sat 11/7 8:30 PM | Orlando Magic 2-4Golden State Warriors 4-3 | 45% 55% | – – | no line | 114 115 | – | – |
| Sat 11/7 9:00 PM | Houston Rockets 6-1Phoenix Suns 1-3 | 61% 39% | – – | no line | 116 113 | – | – |
| Sat 11/7 10:00 PM | San Antonio Spurs 4-2Portland Trail Blazers 4-1 | 56% 44% | – – | no line | 115 114 | – | – |
| Sun 11/8 3:30 PM | Philadelphia 76ers 6-1Chicago Bulls 1-5 | 70% 30% | – – | no line | 117 112 | – | – |
| Sun 11/8 6:00 PM | Los Angeles Lakers 5-2Detroit Pistons 5-1 | 34% 66% | – – | no line | 111 115 | – | – |
| Sun 11/8 7:00 PM | Utah Jazz 1-5Minnesota Timberwolves 4-3 | 17% 83% | – – | no line | 110 120 | – | – |
| Sun 11/8 7:30 PM | Brooklyn Nets 1-5Dallas Mavericks 4-2 | 25% 75% | – – | no line | 110 117 | – | – |
| Sun 11/8 8:00 PM | Boston Celtics 5-1Milwaukee Bucks 1-5 | 78% 22% | – – | no line | 119 111 | – | – |
| Sun 11/8 9:00 PM | New Orleans Pelicans 2-4LA Clippers 1-5 | 41% 59% | – – | no line | 113 116 | – | – |
| Sun 11/8 9:00 PM | Miami Heat 2-4Sacramento Kings 0-6 | 63% 37% | – – | no line | 119 116 | – | – |
| Mon 11/9 7:00 PM | Los Angeles Lakers 5-2Atlanta Hawks 3-4 | 50% 50% | – – | no line | 116 116 | – | – |
| Mon 11/9 7:00 PM | Cleveland Cavaliers 4-2Charlotte Hornets 3-4 | 51% 49% | – – | no line | 112 112 | – | – |
| Mon 11/9 7:00 PM | Washington Wizards 3-3Detroit Pistons 5-1 | 15% 85% | – – | no line | 105 116 | – | – |
| Mon 11/9 7:30 PM | Memphis Grizzlies 6-0Toronto Raptors 3-3 | 36% 64% | – – | no line | 113 116 | – | – |
| Mon 11/9 8:00 PM | Indiana Pacers 2-5Dallas Mavericks 4-2 | 26% 74% | – – | no line | 111 118 | – | – |
| Mon 11/9 8:30 PM | Denver Nuggets 3-2Houston Rockets 6-1 | 39% 61% | – – | no line | 113 116 | – | – |
| Mon 11/9 9:00 PM | San Antonio Spurs 4-2Phoenix Suns 1-3 | 62% 38% | – – | no line | 116 113 | – | – |
| Mon 11/9 10:00 PM | New Orleans Pelicans 2-4Golden State Warriors 4-3 | 36% 64% | – – | no line | 114 118 | – | – |
Model probabilities post as soon as the fixture is on the schedule; the market column fills when DraftKings opens a line.
Last graded
No NBA games graded yet.
NBA record
Grading starts with the first completed games. Every pick is scored the morning after and listed on the results page, hits and misses alike.
Updated 6:06 AM ET · Nov 2, 2026. Lines are DraftKings via ESPN at run time and move during the day. Market = implied probability with the bookmaker margin removed. Edge = model minus market in percentage points; under 3 is noise.
NBA predictions FAQ
How does the model predict NBA games?
Each team carries an Elo rating that moves after every game, with bigger moves for bigger margins. The rating gap plus home advantage gives a win probability; the same gap scaled to points gives the projected margin, and recent scoring rates give the projected total.
What does the edge column mean?
The difference between the model’s win probability and the market’s no-vig probability, in points. A blue chip means the model likes its own favourite more than the market; amber means it leans toward the other side. Anything under 3 points is noise.
Does the model account for injuries?
No. It uses scores and schedule only. When a star is out, the market usually knows before the ratings do, so a large edge against the market deserves a second look.
How are NBA picks graded?
The pick is the team with the higher model probability. It is scored the morning after the game, and the Brier score records how well calibrated the probability was. Everything is on the results page, misses included.