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NHL Predictions: November 2, 2026
NHL has 4 games today and 50 more in the next week in the Sporlytics model. The model’s strongest lean is Bruins at 13.0 points above market against Golden Knights; the most lopsided game is Hurricanes over Blackhawks at 85%. Grading starts with the first completed games and every pick stays on the record.
Today · Monday, November 2
| Time (ET) | Teams | Win % | Market | Edge | Proj. score | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7:00 PM |  Vegas Golden Knights 9-5-1 Boston Bruins 10-4-1 | 37% 63% | 50% 50% | BOS +13.0 | 2.8 3.5 | VGK -112 | 6.5 |
| 7:00 PM |  Detroit Red Wings 6-5-3 Florida Panthers 8-4-2 | 40% 60% | 39% 61% | DET +1.1 | 2.7 3.3 | FLA -175 | 5.5 |
| 8:00 PM |  Colorado Avalanche 8-5-1 Chicago Blackhawks 4-9-1 | 74% 25% | 67% 33% | COL +7.5 | 4.0 2.5 | COL -230 | 6.5 |
| 9:00 PM |  Calgary Flames 6-8-0 San Jose Sharks 7-7-1 | 41% 59% | 45% 55% | SJ +3.8 | 2.8 3.3 | SJ -135 | 6.5 |
Next 7 days
| Time (ET) | Teams | Win % | Market | Edge | Proj. score | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 11/3 7:00 PM |  Utah Mammoth 9-6-0 Toronto Maple Leafs 8-6-2 | 46% 54% | – – | no line | 3.5 3.8 | – | – |
| Tue 11/3 7:00 PM |  Winnipeg Jets 4-8-3 Montreal Canadiens 9-3-2 | 25% 75% | – – | no line | 2.3 3.9 | – | – |
| Tue 11/3 7:00 PM | Detroit Red Wings 6-5-3 Tampa Bay Lightning 8-3-2 | 35% 65% | – – | no line | 2.8 3.8 | – | – |
| Tue 11/3 7:00 PM |  St. Louis Blues 7-6-1 New York Rangers 7-7-1 | 47% 53% | – – | no line | 2.9 3.1 | – | – |
| Tue 11/3 7:00 PM |  Minnesota Wild 10-3-3 Philadelphia Flyers 4-8-4 | 63% 37% | – – | no line | 3.1 2.4 | – | – |
| Tue 11/3 7:00 PM | Vegas Golden Knights 9-5-1 Pittsburgh Penguins 5-7-2 | 49% 51% | – – | no line | 3.4 3.5 | – | – |
| Tue 11/3 7:00 PM |  Dallas Stars 8-5-1 Washington Capitals 8-5-0 | 50% 50% | – – | no line | 2.9 2.9 | – | – |
| Tue 11/3 7:00 PM | Colorado Avalanche 8-5-1 Columbus Blue Jackets 5-7-0 | 64% 36% | – – | no line | 3.6 2.7 | – | – |
| Tue 11/3 7:30 PM |  Edmonton Oilers 11-2-2 New Jersey Devils 9-5-0 | 52% 48% | – – | no line | 3.4 3.3 | – | – |
| Tue 11/3 8:00 PM |  Carolina Hurricanes 12-2-2 Nashville Predators 5-4-5 | 66% 34% | – – | no line | 3.7 2.7 | – | – |
| Tue 11/3 9:00 PM |  Anaheim Ducks 6-7-1 Vancouver Canucks 3-12-1 | 60% 39% | – – | no line | 4.2 3.5 | – | – |
| Wed 11/4 7:30 PM |  Ottawa Senators 9-6-1 Buffalo Sabres 7-4-3 | 46% 54% | – – | no line | 3.2 3.4 | – | – |
| Wed 11/4 7:30 PM | Chicago Blackhawks 4-9-1Florida Panthers 8-4-2 | 26% 73% | – – | no line | 2.3 3.7 | – | – |
| Wed 11/4 10:00 PM | San Jose Sharks 7-7-1 Los Angeles Kings 4-7-2 | 42% 58% | – – | no line | 2.8 3.3 | – | – |
| Wed 11/4 10:00 PM | Calgary Flames 6-8-0 Seattle Kraken 8-5-1 | 35% 64% | – – | no line | 2.9 3.7 | – | – |
| Thu 11/5 7:00 PM | Utah Mammoth 9-6-0Montreal Canadiens 9-3-2 | 40% 60% | – – | no line | 3.1 3.7 | – | – |
| Thu 11/5 7:00 PM | Vegas Golden Knights 9-5-1Detroit Red Wings 6-5-3 | 52% 48% | – – | no line | 3.2 3.0 | – | – |
| Thu 11/5 7:00 PM | Chicago Blackhawks 4-9-1Tampa Bay Lightning 8-3-2 | 22% 78% | – – | no line | 2.4 4.2 | – | – |
| Thu 11/5 7:00 PM | St. Louis Blues 7-6-1New Jersey Devils 9-5-0 | 42% 58% | – – | no line | 2.8 3.3 | – | – |
| Thu 11/5 7:00 PM | Carolina Hurricanes 12-2-2 New York Islanders 7-5-2 | 63% 37% | – – | no line | 3.3 2.5 | – | – |
| Thu 11/5 7:00 PM | Philadelphia Flyers 4-8-4New York Rangers 7-7-1 | 37% 63% | – – | no line | 2.5 3.2 | – | – |
| Thu 11/5 7:00 PM | Boston Bruins 10-4-1Pittsburgh Penguins 5-7-2 | 56% 44% | – – | no line | 3.5 3.2 | – | – |
| Thu 11/5 7:00 PM | Dallas Stars 8-5-1Columbus Blue Jackets 5-7-0 | 58% 42% | – – | no line | 2.9 2.4 | – | – |
| Thu 11/5 8:00 PM | Vancouver Canucks 3-12-1Winnipeg Jets 4-8-3 | 40% 60% | – – | no line | 2.9 3.5 | – | – |
| Thu 11/5 8:00 PM | Anaheim Ducks 6-7-1Edmonton Oilers 11-2-2 | 28% 71% | – – | no line | 3.1 4.6 | – | – |
| Thu 11/5 9:30 PM | Nashville Predators 5-4-5Colorado Avalanche 8-5-1 | 27% 73% | – – | no line | 2.7 4.2 | – | – |
| Fri 11/6 7:00 PM | Columbus Blue Jackets 5-7-0Buffalo Sabres 7-4-3 | 37% 63% | – – | no line | 2.7 3.5 | – | – |
| Fri 11/6 8:00 PM | San Jose Sharks 7-7-1Minnesota Wild 10-3-3 | 26% 74% | – – | no line | 2.3 3.8 | – | – |
| Fri 11/6 8:00 PM | Anaheim Ducks 6-7-1Calgary Flames 6-8-0 | 53% 47% | – – | no line | 3.5 3.3 | – | – |
| Sat 11/7 12:30 PM | Florida Panthers 8-4-2Washington Capitals 8-5-0 | 43% 57% | – – | no line | 3.0 3.4 | – | – |
| Sat 11/7 1:00 PM | St. Louis Blues 7-6-1Nashville Predators 5-4-5 | 49% 51% | – – | no line | 3.0 3.1 | – | – |
| Sat 11/7 5:00 PM | New York Rangers 7-7-1Seattle Kraken 8-5-1 | 46% 54% | – – | no line | 3.2 3.4 | – | – |
| Sat 11/7 7:00 PM | Montreal Canadiens 9-3-2Toronto Maple Leafs 8-6-2 | 50% 49% | – – | no line | 3.5 3.5 | – | – |
| Sat 11/7 7:00 PM | Utah Mammoth 9-6-0Ottawa Senators 9-6-1 | 43% 57% | – – | no line | 3.2 3.6 | – | – |
| Sat 11/7 7:00 PM | New Jersey Devils 9-5-0New York Islanders 7-5-2 | 48% 51% | – – | no line | 2.8 2.9 | – | – |
| Sat 11/7 8:00 PM | Chicago Blackhawks 4-9-1Carolina Hurricanes 12-2-2 | 14% 85% | – – | no line | 2.0 4.5 | – | – |
| Sat 11/7 8:00 PM | San Jose Sharks 7-7-1Dallas Stars 8-5-1 | 28% 71% | – – | no line | 2.3 3.5 | – | – |
| Sat 11/7 8:00 PM | Tampa Bay Lightning 8-3-2Minnesota Wild 10-3-3 | 39% 61% | – – | no line | 2.8 3.5 | – | – |
| Sat 11/7 9:00 PM | Detroit Red Wings 6-5-3Colorado Avalanche 8-5-1 | 28% 72% | – – | no line | 2.6 4.0 | – | – |
| Sat 11/7 9:00 PM | Pittsburgh Penguins 5-7-2Los Angeles Kings 4-7-2 | 51% 49% | – – | no line | 3.3 3.3 | – | – |
| Sat 11/7 10:00 PM | Vancouver Canucks 3-12-1Edmonton Oilers 11-2-2 | 16% 82% | – – | no line | 2.6 5.2 | – | – |
| Sun 11/8 1:00 PM | Florida Panthers 8-4-2Boston Bruins 10-4-1 | 33% 67% | – – | no line | 2.6 3.6 | – | – |
| Sun 11/8 3:30 PM | Vegas Golden Knights 9-5-1Buffalo Sabres 7-4-3 | 48% 52% | – – | no line | 3.2 3.3 | – | – |
| Sun 11/8 7:00 PM | New Jersey Devils 9-5-0Toronto Maple Leafs 8-6-2 | 48% 52% | – – | no line | 3.3 3.4 | – | – |
| Sun 11/8 7:00 PM | Tampa Bay Lightning 8-3-2Winnipeg Jets 4-8-3 | 65% 35% | – – | no line | 3.7 2.7 | – | – |
| Sun 11/8 7:00 PM | Philadelphia Flyers 4-8-4Calgary Flames 6-8-0 | 47% 53% | – – | no line | 2.7 2.9 | – | – |
| Sun 11/8 8:00 PM | Pittsburgh Penguins 5-7-2Anaheim Ducks 6-7-1 | 47% 53% | – – | no line | 3.7 3.9 | – | – |
| Mon 11/9 8:00 PM | New York Rangers 7-7-1Edmonton Oilers 11-2-2 | 31% 69% | – – | no line | 2.8 4.0 | – | – |
| Mon 11/9 9:30 PM | Philadelphia Flyers 4-8-4Vancouver Canucks 3-12-1 | 54% 46% | – – | no line | 3.3 3.1 | – | – |
| Mon 11/9 10:00 PM | New York Islanders 7-5-2San Jose Sharks 7-7-1 | 52% 48% | – – | no line | 3.0 2.9 | – | – |
Model probabilities post as soon as the fixture is on the schedule; the market column fills when DraftKings opens a line.
Last graded
No NHL games graded yet.
NHL record
Grading starts with the first completed games. Every pick is scored the morning after and listed on the results page, hits and misses alike.
Updated 6:06 AM ET · Nov 2, 2026. Lines are DraftKings via ESPN at run time and move during the day. Market = implied probability with the bookmaker margin removed. Edge = model minus market in percentage points; under 3 is noise.
NHL predictions FAQ
How does the model predict NHL games?
Each team has an offence and defence rating from goals scored and allowed, weighted toward recent games. The ratings set expected goals for each side, and a Poisson model turns those into win probabilities and the most likely score. Regulation ties are split by the two teams’ strength, since every game has a winner.
What does the edge column mean?
The difference between the model’s win probability and the market’s no-vig probability, in points. Under 3 points is noise.
Does the model account for goalies or injuries?
No. It uses results and schedule only, which is why the market column sits beside it.
How are NHL picks graded?
The pick is the team with the higher model probability, scored the morning after the game. The Brier score records how well calibrated the probability was. Everything is on the results page, misses included.